American Finance: From Deregulation to Government Ownership in One Fell Swoop
A delegation from the U.S. Treasury Department met recently with a few of the world's largest sovereign wealth funds. They want to avoid a political firestorm as more and more foreign investment makes its way into the U.S. economy.
What's this all about, really?
Over the past thirty years, the U.S. government has dismantled the system of regulation the nation instituted to prevent the sort of wild speculation that preceded the financial meltdown of the Great Depression. The last piece to fall was known as the Glass-Steagall Act, a Depression-era firewall intended to separate commercial banking from investment banking. In the late 1990s, my cabinet colleague Bob Rubin joined Fed chair Alan Greenspan to get Congress to repeal Glass-Steagall.
Now we're witnessing another financial meltdown, also fueled by speculation. Hopefully this one is not as serious as the one that occurred in 1929. But it does require us to rethink the importance of sensible financial regulation. Perhaps the pendulum of financial deregulation has swung too far.
Paradoxically, the primary response of governments -- both here in the US and in other advanced nations whose financial markets are also frozen -- isn't to rethink regulation. It's to subject financial institutions to government ownership. Recently the British government decided to take over the troubled mortgage lender Northern Rock. This was after the Bank of England was forced to give the firm emergency funding to avoid a run on the bank.
Well, you might say, that's Europe. They've been nationalizing companies for years. But the same trend is happening in the United States. The difference is that here it's not the US government that's taking over financial institutions. It's governments from Asia and the Middle East. Singapore recently paid $4.4 billion for an ownership stake in Merrill Lynch. The Chinese bought a $5 billion piece of Morgan Stanley. Abu Dubai is spending billions on other American financial institutions. The list of foreign owners continues to lengthen, and the amount they're shelling out to buy American banks continues to grow.
As their balance sheets weaken, America's big financial houses are getting bailed out by selling out. It's only logical, from their viewpoint. American banks need the cash and oil-producing and East-Asian governments have it. Yet there's no end in sight for the credit crisis, and Middle Eastern and East Asian "sovereign wealth funds" are in the process of owning a larger and larger portion of the global banking system. These funds are growing by more than a trillion dollars a year. At this rate, they'll BE the global banking system.
The problem is, government ownership doesn't work. Governments are lousy at deciding where profits can be found. They're liable to make decisions based on politics rather than profits.
It's the biggest irony in financial history. Decades of U.S. government deregulation of Wall Street has reaped a whirlwind of irresponsible speculation. It's now ending in a financial meltdown that's being remedied by government ownership, with all the strings that come with government ownership. And it's not even OUR government that's holding the strings.
What's this all about, really?
Over the past thirty years, the U.S. government has dismantled the system of regulation the nation instituted to prevent the sort of wild speculation that preceded the financial meltdown of the Great Depression. The last piece to fall was known as the Glass-Steagall Act, a Depression-era firewall intended to separate commercial banking from investment banking. In the late 1990s, my cabinet colleague Bob Rubin joined Fed chair Alan Greenspan to get Congress to repeal Glass-Steagall.
Now we're witnessing another financial meltdown, also fueled by speculation. Hopefully this one is not as serious as the one that occurred in 1929. But it does require us to rethink the importance of sensible financial regulation. Perhaps the pendulum of financial deregulation has swung too far.
Paradoxically, the primary response of governments -- both here in the US and in other advanced nations whose financial markets are also frozen -- isn't to rethink regulation. It's to subject financial institutions to government ownership. Recently the British government decided to take over the troubled mortgage lender Northern Rock. This was after the Bank of England was forced to give the firm emergency funding to avoid a run on the bank.
Well, you might say, that's Europe. They've been nationalizing companies for years. But the same trend is happening in the United States. The difference is that here it's not the US government that's taking over financial institutions. It's governments from Asia and the Middle East. Singapore recently paid $4.4 billion for an ownership stake in Merrill Lynch. The Chinese bought a $5 billion piece of Morgan Stanley. Abu Dubai is spending billions on other American financial institutions. The list of foreign owners continues to lengthen, and the amount they're shelling out to buy American banks continues to grow.
As their balance sheets weaken, America's big financial houses are getting bailed out by selling out. It's only logical, from their viewpoint. American banks need the cash and oil-producing and East-Asian governments have it. Yet there's no end in sight for the credit crisis, and Middle Eastern and East Asian "sovereign wealth funds" are in the process of owning a larger and larger portion of the global banking system. These funds are growing by more than a trillion dollars a year. At this rate, they'll BE the global banking system.
The problem is, government ownership doesn't work. Governments are lousy at deciding where profits can be found. They're liable to make decisions based on politics rather than profits.
It's the biggest irony in financial history. Decades of U.S. government deregulation of Wall Street has reaped a whirlwind of irresponsible speculation. It's now ending in a financial meltdown that's being remedied by government ownership, with all the strings that come with government ownership. And it's not even OUR government that's holding the strings.

21 Comments:
Our Gov't has allowed financial and corporate structures to hold a variety of financial synthetic credit related debt in mark to model off balance sheet accounting.
This produces nothing but ponzi related financial economy that produces nothing productive for the overall economy. My adivice to to follow a mark to market model just like everyday stock market folks endure. A suggestion from one on my favorite financial blogs:
"No regulated financial institution is permitted to buy, sell or hold any instrument that is not traded on a public exchange with published bids and asks, and all such instruments are marked every night at the last trade if available, or the bid if no trades had taken place during that trading day, and no "off balance sheet" vehicles are permitted under any circumstances."
http://market-ticker.denninger.net/
Dr. Reich,
It's actually the "Glass-Steagall Act". Readers who want to know more about it would find it is easier searching with the proper spelling. :-)
References to the "Great Depression" are appearing more frequently lately. I hope our next president inspires confidence. We may need it.
Governments are lousy at deciding where profits can be found.
It would seem that unregulated private enterprise is not much better, as evidenced by the recent recapitalizations. (And I don't think we have seen the last of it, either.)
As with most things, the answer is probably somewhere in the middle.
It's not a question of private ownership as some commenters suggests.
There are at least 3 factors at play:
1- individuals letting the structure take the risks, and keeping the benefits
In a big bank, it can be that people who takes the decision only wants to have their next big bonus.
Those guys are not serving the private organization, they are defrauding it.
2- Model uncertainty
Also, there are many risks that you can't model, and everyone gets used to the fact that the models are crappy and trade nontheless on those levels. Look at the credit market : what a joke !
Or most hedge funds, who recollaterize asset to get even more leverage.
3- Overconfidence
When I came to a big bank that recently suffered big losses, I told them that their way of doing things posed a huge risk.
How much was my warning worth at the time ? In a division that makes money for years, nothing.
Now it is a pretty big deal.
All those 3 points you have in public and private structures, albeit private ownership scatter and mutualize the risk.
I recall a radio story about banking deregulation a few years ago, where the reporter said they were going to do away with "depression era" regulations. The disdain in her voice was palpable, as well as the implication that those silly regulations were entirely unnecessary in these modern times.
My immediate reaction was to think that those regulations were to forestall another depression, and that they were most certainly relevant today.
Sometimes I hate being right.
If nationalized banks don't work, why are these national banks in a position to buy our free market banks?
Presumably, because nationalized banks -do- work.
I have to admit I really do not understand our economy. I am concerned that other Countries will be making the decision about investing in America's infrastructure and giving loans to American Companies that create jobs for our American People.
What if they favor other Countries? Is that possible, Countries that are not as debt ridden?
Today, I canceled my collision insurance, because with gas as high as it is and other essentials sky high, I couldn't afford to keep it on a paid for car. Don't you love trickle down economics. By the way, you predicted this, a few years ago.
anonymous
I'm beginning to catch the trickle, though I have yet to identify what is trickling.
I remember well when they deregulated the banks. The 1st thing that came to mind was what Ronald Reagan said when he deregulated the S&L industry in the 80s; "I think we hit the jackpot now"!
It is quite sad to see that Reich succumbed to the Neoliberal's myth "government ownership doesn't work". I will try to point out a few fallacies in this myth:
1. There is neither rule nor sound economic theory that forbids government from owning business/enterprises. I don't like the old socialist ideology that government must own all major enterprises; I also don't accept the Neoliberals' dogma that government shouldn't own any enterprises. I like the pragmatic Scandinavian way, for example the way Norway solved its major banking crisis in 1990.
2. The assumption of better management capabilities by the private sector is somewhat problematic. The current financial meltdown crisis is mostly all the fault of the private sector, with government abrogating its regulatory and enforcement role - because of current Neoliberal dogma. US Government demonstrated excellent business management capabilities for example in laying out the major petroleum pipelines – the Inch Lines - from Texas to the North East (The foundation of the current Halliburton) during the Second World War, in managing the Marshall plan, and in other enterprises. Also, I believe that Medicare is much better managed with lower G&A, than private health care.
3. Mixing ownership and management. Who own GE or GM. GE is seen as a very well managed company GM not so. Reich obviously has inside knowledge of the faults of government decision making process. However, I submit that the private sector decision making process is not necessarily better. The Israeli Government owns Bank Leumi that is very well managed by a professional group of managers. Bank Hapoalim which is privately held was not so well managed, and lost a few hundreds of millions of dollars investing in various financial instruments
4. As for political considerations in government owned organization, I prefer it to the political guidelines of Mr. Rupert Murdoch, not to mention those of Mr. Conrad Blake of Hollinger publishing. Government is accountable and can be replaced by popular vote, try to do it in the Murdoch empire.
Amnon Portugaly
Tel-Aviv University
To the hedge fund bashers out there...
The main reason for the rise and proliferation of HFs, during the past decade, was due to the development of financial instruments which don't mark to the actual market in real-time.
In other words, in a non-structured financial world, HFs would be a constant pool of the best trading companies, led by the elite traders out there. And as one knows, there are only so many Jesse Livermores, Bill Lipschutzs, and George Soros out there for a particular generation of traders. Hence, hedge funds were never meant to grow but to stay exclusive.
When instruments don't mark to the market, any HF saleman [ read: not a true trader ] can prop up a fund via leverage and writing off the risks to a set of MBS/CDOs while taking all kinds of long and short positions in commodities and emerging markets out there.
Dear Nicolas,
I think you spelled 'overconfidence' incorrectly.
It's H-U-B-R-I-S.
Robert,
I love your revisionist history.
You were a part of the Clinton administration, and a big part of the govt. financial reforms of the 90's INCLUDING the elimination of Glass Steagall.
Now you want to ciritize these changes, and pretend you weren't involved.
Your hands are dirty mister.
The influx of dollars from foreign wealth funds was inevitable. And could be viewed as part of the solution for the USA's massive foreign debt.
We buy a variety of foreign products and services, and have paid for them in what are now worth-less dollars. Inflation and artificially low interest rates are fixing the excesses from the past 10 years in borrowing. Holders of dollars can invest them at 3% and lose 5%-10% per year due to inflation, or invest them back in the US in financial companies with negative earnings for the foreseeable future. Two bad choices
The only real surprise is that the same foreign nations are still lending us enough to buy their goods and services and accepting the new lesser valued dollar as payment.
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funny, when i think of the saving and loan failure that transpired in the 1980's the first thing that pops to my mind is (Winstar Corporation vs. U.S. S.Ct. 2432 (1996)). It always brings a smile to my face to know that one must uphold their legally binding promises and agreements; even if it is our own government who is held accountable for the billions in damages arising out of their breach of contract.
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